Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 224.233786 252.192292 283.117913 320.009909 363.011976 411.782288 471.604726
2025-03-09 181.657602 218.473288 262.755772 320.535021 394.809416 488.288521 616.790594
2025-03-16 155.220377 194.840258 245.152009 314.835191 410.631019 540.418634 734.414750
2025-03-23 139.085202 180.650576 235.791540 316.006108 432.682231 601.124018 872.313918
2025-03-30 124.320945 165.923677 223.085534 309.639628 441.583749 642.616171 987.904599
2025-04-06 113.811043 155.599549 214.843201 307.862504 455.912481 693.162832 1126.722782
2025-04-13 101.881753 141.926885 200.108879 294.125956 449.042345 707.744874 1205.590842
2025-04-20 97.656779 139.002382 200.800076 304.070986 481.363612 792.483933 1430.447939
2025-04-27 94.508283 137.302583 203.022376 316.477370 519.262101 893.188105 1711.362584
2025-05-04 89.221022 131.784604 198.606252 317.088486 536.084173 957.184951 1931.778266
2025-05-11 82.795757 123.933241 189.676016 308.813147 535.190992 985.987522 2080.334590
2025-05-18 77.468719 117.439468 182.414475 302.659263 537.370155 1021.146466 2253.096824
2025-05-25 74.871618 115.309988 182.460523 310.069565 567.848740 1123.383280 2630.205427
2025-06-01 71.322447 111.335935 179.006268 310.587631 584.493298 1198.607952 2962.463184
2025-06-08 67.182686 106.053544 172.799089 305.104190 587.609848 1242.873022 3221.508919
2025-06-15 64.398237 102.902801 170.126659 306.230649 605.168902 1325.509757 3629.023802
2025-06-22 60.835229 98.151179 164.165781 300.105519 605.568014 1364.940612 3912.023750
2025-06-29 58.156909 94.797285 160.536582 298.395566 615.912913 1432.668768 4321.997372
2025-07-06 54.211664 88.939933 151.806350 285.175211 597.245002 1417.905344 4424.322650
2025-07-13 53.372612 88.667748 153.676607 294.747059 635.285896 1571.108497 5251.720963
2025-07-20 52.826492 88.889072 156.499779 306.684002 681.207775 1759.582200 6341.585420
2025-07-27 51.038419 86.676068 154.353910 307.271884 697.861884 1862.397064 7111.976862
2025-08-03 48.464765 82.836504 148.699320 299.310287 690.589784 1886.636959 7515.558309